NEW DELHI: Exit polls released on Wednesday evening for the Assam elections suggest a decisive victory for the incumbent Himanta Biswa Sarma-led government, with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) expected to secure a third consecutive term in the tea-producing state.
The findings indicate that the Congress party, under Gaurav Gogoi’s leadership, remains on the margins, further diminishing its position in the political landscape of Assam. According to P-MARQ, the BJP is projected to win between 82 to 94 seats, while the Congress may acquire 30 to 40 seats, with other parties possibly claiming 1 to 5 seats.
Estimates from Matrize show the BJP ahead with a projection of 85 to 95 seats, followed by Congress at 25 to 32 seats, and others ranging from 6 to 12 seats. Axis My India also anticipates robust performance by the BJP, estimating 88 to 100 seats for the ruling party and 24 to 36 seats for Congress. JVC’s poll gives the BJP 88 to 101 seats, Congress 23 to 33 seats, and others between 2 and 5 seats.
Across these major polling agencies, a consistent trend emerges showing a substantial advantage for the BJP, while the Congress-led opposition appears significantly lagging. The aggregate polling data for Assam in 2026 indicates an average projection of around 90 seats for the BJP, with Congress expected to capture around 30 seats and others approximately 4 to 5 seats, indicating a comfortable lead for the incumbents.
The political contest in Assam intensified as the BJP, led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, aims for its third consecutive term, while Congress seeks to regain its influence under Gaurav Gogoi, the son of former Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi and Deputy Leader of Opposition in the Lok Sabha. The campaign has evolved into a direct confrontation between Sarma and Gogoi, marked by sharp exchanges between the two leaders.
Assam conducted voting across all 126 assembly seats on April 9, recording a turnout exceeding 85%, one of the highest in recent years. This surge in voter participation was notable not only in rural areas but also across urban centers, indicative of widespread engagement and enthusiasm among the electorate throughout the state.
