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On 20th anniversary of world’s worst tsunami, experts warn of complacency
Breaking India News Today | In-Depth Reports & Analysis – IndiaNewsWeek > International > 20 years later: Experts caution against complacency after worst tsunami
International

20 years later: Experts caution against complacency after worst tsunami

December 26, 2024 6 Min Read
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The pain is still raw for Cut Sylvia as she recounts the last time she gazed into her two-year-old daughter’s eyes.

It was a typical morning in the Indonesian coastal city of Banda Aceh in north Sumatra when Sylvia and her husband noticed people running past their home, warning them of approaching sea water.

With her infant daughter, Siti, in her arms, Sylvia was quickly overwhelmed by the waves flooding their home.

“I can’t put into words that moment when I locked eyes with her, and she locked eyes with me, and we just stared at each other,” Sylvia told Al Jazeera.

“She didn’t cry or speak. She just stared at me. I knew we would be torn apart,” she said.

Siti was swept away by the tsunami.

After enduring what felt like being trapped in a washing machine for 15 minutes, Sylvia managed to climb onto the roof of a nearby house where the reality of their loss began to sink in.

“I was filled with immense sadness. I can’t explain the emotions I felt when I realized my daughter was gone,” she shared.

Sylvia’s husband, Budi Permana, was also swept away but found refuge at the top of a coconut tree, where the sea waters had reached. He eventually collapsed from exhaustion while searching for his family and was discovered by Red Cross workers, who initially thought he was dead.

It wasn’t until a week later in the city of Medan, 600km (370 miles) from their destroyed home in Banda Aceh, that Sylvia and Budi were reunited.

Despite their relentless search, Siti was never found.

The couple continues to grieve the loss of their young daughter, their sorrow still fresh as they commemorate the 20th anniversary of the Indian Ocean tsunami – the most deadly and devastating on record.

Before 8 am local time on December 26, 2004, a massive 9.2 to 9.3 magnitude earthquake struck off the west coast of the Indonesian province of Aceh in northern Sumatra. The ensuing tsunamis claimed an estimated 227,898 lives in 14 countries.

Indonesia, Sri Lanka, and Thailand were the hardest hit, with Indonesia bearing the brunt of the catastrophe. Despite significant progress in tsunami research, sea defenses, and early warning systems since the 2004 disaster, experts caution against complacency as memories of the devastation fade.

David McGovern, a senior lecturer and tsunami expert at London South Bank University, emphasized that tsunamis are not as rare as perceived, citing another deadly tsunami in Japan in 2011.

“We experience around two tsunamis a year on average that result in casualties or damage,” he explained.

At a recent symposium in London marking the 20th anniversary of the Indian Ocean tsunami, leading tsunami engineering experts gathered to discuss the current state of tsunami research and the risks posed by future tsunamis.

In a strange coincidence, news of a powerful magnitude 7 earthquake off the United States West Coast reached the group while they dined in central London the day before the symposium. Though the tsunami alert was eventually lifted, it underscored the importance of continued vigilance.

McGovern, a key researcher at the MAKEWAVES project, highlighted the significant strides made in tsunami research over the past two decades, including a better understanding of how tsunamis cause damage.

The group’s latest undertaking involves developing a prototype design for the revolutionary Tsunami Twin Wave machine to simulate the impact of multiple incoming and outgoing tsunami waves. This innovation aims to bridge a crucial gap in current research.

While funding for tsunami research remains a challenge due to misconceptions about the frequency of tsunamis and the perception of them as rare events, McGovern stressed the need to prioritize preparedness for one of the most deadly natural disasters humanity faces.

As the world reflects on the 20th anniversary of the Indian Ocean tsunami, the risks posed by future tsunamis loom larger, exacerbated by rising sea levels from climate change.

Phil Cummins, a seismologist and one of the few who predicted the 2004 tsunami, emphasized that a devastating tsunami of similar magnitude is a matter of when, not if.

Though predicting the exact timing of such an event is impossible, Cummins’s warnings prior to the 2004 disaster proved eerily accurate. He cautioned that complacency may lead to greater losses if communities are not adequately prepared.

While advancements in earthquake alert systems and tsunami readiness have improved, the complacency among coastal communities remains a concern. Rina Suryani Oktari, a professor at Syiah Kuala University, noted that the influx of people back to high-risk coastal areas exacerbates the potential for significant casualties in the event of another tsunami.

Budi and Sylvia serve as a poignant reminder of the importance of remaining vigilant. Budi, tirelessly searching for his missing daughter, draws inspiration from stories of reunification, holding onto hope that someday he will be reunited with Siti.

Despite two decades passing since the tragic events of 2004, their determination and unwavering hope serve as a cautionary tale for all Indonesians.

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